With 2014 now more than half over, it seems like a good time to look ahead to next year. The consensus S&P 500 earnings estimate for 2015, as computed by FactSet, is $133. That results in a forward P/E ratio of just less than 15x. Relative to the index’s long-term historical average, which is in the mid-teens, the current valuation level suggests to us neither unusual opportunity nor risk. Given that, why is there so much talk about the market being overvalued?
Monday 30 June, 2014
